Back in February, John Michael Greer, he of the Long Descent historical viewpoint, predicted an imminent collapse in the making.
At that point, I suggested that everyone who is transitioning to a more sustainable and/or resilient way of life might want to pick up the pace a bit by "pretending" that they needed to prepare for that transition in the next six months or so. Order your seeds and prepare the garden, stock up your woodpile, store a few months of food, learn important skills, look after your health, get your house prepared, meet your neighbors, etc.
Since February, signs have been everywhere - for those who choose to see. Here's just a small, selected example of the many alarm bells that have been clanging in the past few months:
In March, Oxford University reported that global oil reserves were over-estimated by one-third (!!!), and predicted an oil peak by 2014-1015. One of the authors commented "The belief that alternative fuels such as biofuels could mitigate oil supply shortages and eventually replace fossil fuels is a pie in the sky. Instead of relying on those silver bullet solutions, we have to make better use of the remaining resources by improving efficiency."
Also in March, Le Monde published an article reporting that the US Department of Energy "considers a decline of world oil production as of 2011." Chris Nelder found a chart from the EIA that shows that they have no idea how supply could increase after 2012, and in five years, the shortfall between supply and demand would equal Saudi Arabia's current production.
And perhaps most alarming to many Americans, the U.S. Joint Forces of Command issued a report that warned "By 2012, surplus oil production capacity could entirely disappear, and as early as 2015, the shortfall in output could reach nearly 10 million barrels per day,” with serious economic and political repercussions.
Finally, at the end of April, the Deepwater Horizon platform burned and toppled, and the deepwater well is currently spewing 210,000 gallons of oil per day into the Gulf of Mexico, signaling that perhaps, trying to drill our way out of peak oil is a fool's strategy. Perhaps, it's not so clever to try to delay the inevitable so we can party for just a few... more.... years.
Come on, what more do you need than a thousand-foot burning bush, whoops, I mean rig? Especially one that can be seen from miles away.... with an oil slick that can be seen from space? What's it going to take? People, do you really need GOD'S HANDWRITING IN THE SKY????